Loading...
1998 09 26 PCNOTICE CANCELLATION OF REGULAR PLANNING COMMISSION MEETING ON SEPTEMBER 27, 1988 NOTICE OF PLANNING COMMISSION STUDY SESSION FOR SEPTEMBER 26, 1988 The September 27, 1988 Planning Commission meeting has been cancelled due: to lack of agenda matters. However, the Planning Commission will have a Study Session on September 26, 1988 at 4:00 p.m. to discuss the Policy Preview for the Hwy. 111 Specific Plan. MEMORANDUM TO: HONORABLE CHAIRMAN AND MEMBERS OF THE PLANNING COMMISSION :FROM: PLANNING AND DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT DATE: SEPTEMBER 26, 1988 SUBJECT: GUIDANCE TO STAFF ON HWY 111 POLICY PREVIEWS Background: On August 22nd, a "policy preview" for the Hwy 111 Specific Plan was presented in written form and a presentation made to explain the material. At the following Study Session (Tuesday, September 13th) another discussion of some of the more basic Policy orientations took place. Before staff attempts to progress beyond this "policy preview" :stage of development, additional guidance from the Planning Commission would be beneficial. As a way of focusing attention on issues, the following analytic guide (in the form of a checklist) has been prepared to help you distill your thinking into a form which lends itself to giving staff guidance. Analytic Guide: The following analytic guide calls attention to the major issues contained in the policy preview (cross indexed to the discussion in the text). Adjacent to each statement is an area to record your thoughts on each issue. Study Session: At the Study Session, the agenda will consist of working through the checklist, to elicit your reactions and comments as to how to proceed with further policy development. K.H/MEMOTB.002 -1- ANALYTIC GUIDE In front of each question, make a note to yourself whether you ;u ort (S), have questions about (Q), or have an alternative policy to propose (A). S C) A 1. The Hwy 111 corridor is too important to the City's long term welfare - especially in terms of fiscal potential - to allow an unguided form of development. 2. In the process of guiding the development of Hwy 111, the City must focus on the long term effect on the development plan, rather than acquiesce to near -term convenience or premature development. 3. Access to properties from Hwy 111 and Washington should be carefully controlled. 4. Development plans should be guided to center on access points, not haphazardly fill in between them. 5. Property configurations should be guided to conform to the objectives of the Hwy 111 Plan. 6. The Redevelopment Agency will have a significant role to play in the implementation of the Hwy 111 Specific Plan, and therefore should be closely coordinated with the City's refinement of the Plan. 7. Immediately adjacent to Hwy 111 and for an appropriate depth, no residential development should be permitted as a separate primary land use. Commercial should be permitted to displace residential down to 48th Avenue - especially if the commercial is associated with a major hotel development. Within 660 feet of Hwy 111, residential should not be permitted to displace commercial land uses. KH/MEMOTB.002 -2- • S Q A 8. The value of the Hwy 111 Corridor (its future potential) for the City of La Quinta and its residents will only be realized if the City adopts a strong, united, continuously supported position that "Only what complies with the long-term objectives of the Hwy 111 Specific Plan should be permitted to be developed there." Flexibility should be maintained in how to accomplish the objectives. Each alternative proposed should enjoy the same in-depth consideration as the original plan with regard to compatibilities, linkages, and effects on the future implementation of the rest of the Plan. 9. Development concept: Major commercial complexes centered on access road. (Al., page 2) 10. Design concept: Window to La Quinta, Vistas, desert compatibility, unified architecture within complexes. (A2, A3, A4, A5, pages 2 and 3) 11. Heights: Natural grade, low profile along major thoroughfares, vertical accents, view angle concept. (A6, A7, A8, A9, A10, B2, pages 3, 4 and 7) 12. Landscaping concept: Palms along entry roads, dense separations between complexes. (pages 4-6B) 13. Major infrastructure investments: The :burden of costs should be spread as far as the benefits in order to facilitate development. (No. 4, page 13) 14. Access concepts: Limited access, signalized intersections, 47th Avenue, connections between properties, low water crossings on Adams and Dune Palms, down playing pedestrian emphasis. (pages 14-17) 15. Land use concepts: Emphasize commercial, major complexes, appropriately located residential in higher densities, affordable housing, mixed urban uses. (pages 18-21) KH/MEMOTB.002 -3- S Q A 16. Amending the General Plan: Residential land uses, refined density categories, higher densities, preferred uses with flexibility and alternatives which maximize compatibilities and linkages. (pages 21 and 24) K.H/MEMOTB.002 -4- • NOTICE CANCELLATION OF REGULAR PLANNING COMMISSION MEETING ON SEPTEMBER 27, 1988 NOTICCE OF PLANNING COMMISSION STUDY SESSION FOR SEPTEMBER 26, 1988 The September 27, 1988 Planning Commission meeting has been cancelled due to lack of agenda matters. However, the Planning Commission will have a Study Session on September 26, 1988 at 4:00 p.m. to discuss the Policy Preview for the Hwy. ill Specific Plan. MEMORANDUM TO: HONORABLE CHAIRMAN AND MEMBERS OF THE PLANNING COMMISSION FROM: PLANNING AND DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT DATE: SEPTEMBER 26, 1988 SUBJECT: GUIDANCE TO STAFF ON HWY 111 POLICY PREVIEWS Background• On August 22nd, a "policy preview" for the Hwy 111 Specific Plan was presented in written form and a presentation made to explain the material. At the following Study Session (Tuesday, September 13th) another discussion of some of the more basic policy orientations took place. Before staff attempts to progress beyond this "policy preview" stage of development, additional guidance from the Planning Commission would be beneficial. As a way of` focusing attention on issues, the following analytic guide! (in the form of a checklist) has been prepared to help you distill your thinking into a form which lends itself to giving staff guidance. Analytic Guide: The following analytic guide calls attention to the major issues contained in the policy preview (cross indexed to the discussion in the text). Adjacent to each statement is an area to record your thoughts on each issue. Study Session: At the Study Session, the agenda will consist of working through the checklist, to elicit your reactions and comments as to how to proceed with further policy development. KH/MEMOTB.002 -1- • ANALYTIC GUIDE In front of each question, make a note to yourself whether you support (S), have questions about QQ), or have an alternative policy to propose (A). S n A 1. The Hwy 111 corridor is too important to the City's long term welfare - especially in terms of fiscal potential - to allow an unguided form of development. 2. In the process of guiding the development of Hwy 111, the City must focus on the long term effect on the development plan, rather than acquiesce to near -term convenience or premature development. 3. Access to properties from Hwy 111 and Washington should be carefully controlled. 4. Development plans should be guided to center on access points, not haphazardly fill in between them. 5. Property configurations should be guided to conform to the objectives of the Hwy 111 Plan. 6. The Redevelopment Agency will have a significant role to play in the implementation of the Hwy Ill Specific Plan, and therefore should be closely coordinated with the City's refinement of the Plan. 7. Immediately adjacent to Hwy 111 and for an appropriate depth, no residential development should be permitted as a separate primary land use. Commercial should be permitted to displace residential down to 48th Avenue - especially if the commercial is associated with a major hotel development. Within 660 feet of Hwy ill, residential should not be permitted to displace commercial land uses. KH/MEMOTB.002 -2- S Q A 8. The value of the Hwy 111 Corridor (its future potential) for the City of La Quinta and its residents will only be :realized if the City adopts a strong, united, continuously supported position that "Only what complies with the long-term objectives of the Hwy 111 Specific Plan should be permitted to be developed there." Flexibility should be maintained in how to accomplish the objectives. Each alternative proposed should enjoy the same in-depth consideration as the original plan with regard to compatibilities, linkages, and effects on the future implementation of the rest of the Plan. 9. Development concept: Major commercial complexes centered on access road. (Al., page 2) 10. Design concept: Window to La Quinta, Vistas, desert compatibility, unified architecture within complexes. (A2, A3, A4, A5, pages 2 and 3) 11. Heights: Natural grade, low profile along major thoroughfares, vertical accents, view angle concept. (A6, A7, A8, A9, A10, B2, pages 3, 4 and 7) 12. Landscaping concept: Palms along entry roads, dense separations between complexes. (pages 4-6B) 13. Major infrastructure investments: The burden of costs should be spread as far as the benefits in order to facilitate development. (No. 4, page 13) 14. Access concepts: Limited access, signalized intersections, 47th Avenue, connections between properties, low water crossings on Adams and Dune Palms, down playing pedestrian emphasis. (pages 14-17) 15. Land use concepts: Emphasize commercial, major complexes, appropriately located residential in higher densities, affordable housing, ;mixed urban uses. (pages 18-21) KH/MEMOTB.002 -3- • S Q A 16. Amending the General Plan: Residential land uses, refined density categories, higher densities, preferred uses with flexibility and alternatives which maximize compatibilities and linkages. (pages 21 and 24) Kki/MEMOTB . 0 0 2 - 4 - 'may 4 .�.q" MEMORANDUM TO: HONORABLE CHAIRMAN AND MEMBERS OF THE PLANNING CON:MI S S I ON FROM: PLANNING AND DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT DATE: SEPTEMBER 26, 1988 SUBJECT: HIGH AND MEDIUM DENSITY STUDY Background In January of this year, City Council requested that Staff begin a study of the General Plan's designations for higher density residential land. uses. This study has been ongoing for a number of months. Parts 1 and 2 of the Staff analysis were transmitted to the Planning Commission in March. The subsequent phases of the task involved the assistance of consultants to evaluate residential market absorption and traffic impacts; associated with the designated locations of high density residential land. Report The attached report is the result of Staff work based on information from the consultant evaluations and other inputs. The Staff Report on this subject was submitted to City Council on September 19th. It will be the subject of discussion and guidance to Staff on Monday evening September 26th. It is anticipated that Council guidance may generate a new consensus alternative as the basis for consideration of a General Plan amendment. Any amendment which may be contemplated would follow the usual processing involving Planning Commission consideration and recommendation. Commission Use The noted report is being provided to the Commissioners for their liabrar'Les and as background material for a possible later request to consider a General Plan Amendment. Attachment: Report re City -Wide Analysis of Medium and High Density Land Uses KH/MEMOTB.003 -1- TO: FROM: DATE: SUBJECT: BACKGROUND T--,eaf 4 #QuAro MEMORANDUM HONORABLE MAYOR AND MEMBERS OF CITY COUNCIL PLANNING AND DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT SEPTEMBER, 1988 CITY-WIDE ANALYSIS OF MEDIUM AND HIGH DENSITY LAND USES On April 5, 1988, a transmittal memo conveyed to the City Council results (to date) of Staff work on the requested City-wide analysis of the General Plan allocation of Medium and High Density Residential Land Uses. Parts 1 and 2 of the Study were presented: Part 1: An analysis of General Plan density and its policy implications; and Part 2: A more detailed look at specific high density areas designated or implied by the General Plan. While these first two parts introduced the issues and explored, in a general way, the possible direction of a resolution of noted issues, the analysis performed to that date was not sufficient to provide a firm basis to contemplate a General Plan Amendment. On April 19, 1988 a recommendation was made and direction given to pursue five additional analytic tasks. The first three of those five tasks are the subject of the attached report: Part 3: A more in-depth analysis of the seven high density residential areas designated in the General Plan, with respect to two technical considerations: a.) Traffic analysis and the effect of high density at each location on the planned road system (and a second analysis presuming a medium density designation); and b.) Market absorption for high and medium density residential units over time to determine whether the General Plan designated land inventory is - 1 - BJ/MEMOTB.007 • 0 sufficient, deficient, or excessive for high and medium densities. Part 3 was conducted by consultants retained to accomplish the technical data manipulation and interpretation necessary to confirm or refine the earlier general Staff analysis in Part 2. Part 4: Reviewing all work, especially the results of Part 3 technical consultant input on traffic and market, Staff would prepare: a.) A comparative summary table of the seven designated high density residential areas, characterizing them across all the variables in a brief, succinct way; b.) A set of concrete recommendations on how to treat each of the designated areas leading to any necessary General Plan Amendments; c.) A set of general recommendations on how to treat the residential potential of the Mixed Commercial Land Use in the Highway 111 Corridor, leading to either a General Plan Amendment or a policy directive for the Specific Plan; d.) An analysis of the implications of the above recommendations for the medium density residential category (if, for instance, some high density were recommended to be amended to medium density); e,.) A revised Residential Land Use Profile of the City (similar to that found in Part 1), based on the recommendations in the report, to demonstrate the implications of any recommended land use re -designations. Part 5: An in-depth City Council consideration of the Staff analysis and recommendations, resulting in a set of directives to Staff as to which recommendations would be most favorably considered. The remaining tasks, Part 6, Staff refinement of recommendations and preparation of the General Plan Amendments; and Part 7, Environmental Analysis and related considerations, will follow Council's consideration of the attached material and directives to Staff. REPORT The attached report contains two sections: - 2 - BJ/MEMOTB.007 • 0 Part :!: Summary of consultant reports on Market Absorption for High and Medium Density Residential units and on Traffic Impact Evaluation of seven designated high density residential locations. The summaries are quite brief. Excerpts, or the full text, of both reports are available to the Council upon request. Part 4: Summary of Staff analysis and recommendations. This part contains two levels of focus. The first deals with the seven designated high density areas in a comparative table summarizing the many considerations surfaced about each area. However, because the high density areas do not exist in a vacuum, the remainder of the analysis focuses on the total residential land use pattern,, City-wide, including all densities. Within the analysis section of Part 4, the General Plan, the market, and three alterntive scenarios have been prepared for Council discussion and consideration. For each scenario a pair of maps have been prepared (to compare with the present General Plan Map). For each scenario, a table has also been prepared to describe the acreage, dwelling unit and population implications of each alternative. It is expected that the exploration of these three scenarios will focus on policy positions needing leading to a Scenario #4 upon which any General Plan may be based. alternative refinement, Amendments 3 - BJ/MEMOTB.007 0 0 PART 3: September, 1988 STAFF REPORT SUMMARY OF ANALYSIS AND RECOMMENDATIONS ON THE CITY-WIDE GENERAL PLAN STUDY OF MEDIUM AND HIGH DENSITY LAND USES Summary of Consultant Reports on A. Market Absorption for High and Medium Density Residential Units; and B. Traffic Impact Plan Designated Locations A. HOUSING UNIT ABSORPTION Evaluation of Seven General High Density Residential At an average rate of economic growth, between the years of 1990 and 202C, additional housing units could be expected to be absorbed by each of three density categories in the following numbers: 1. Medium Density (4-8 du/ac): 2844 units 2. Medium -•High Density (8-12 du/ac): 1773 units 3. High Density (12-16 du/ac): 497 units Total 5114 units In the same period (1990-2020) approximately 5289 lower density units (four or fewer per acre) would be absorbed. By the year 2020, the total housing units absorbed in La Quinta would be approximately 15,245, of which 8,049 (53%) would be at a density of four or fewer dwelling units per acre, and 7,196 (47%) would be above four dwelling units per acre, if the market were the sole determinant of residential land uses in La uinta. B. TRAFFIC IMPACT An analysis of the seven designated high density residential areas together with all previously approved projects, compared to the General Plan design capacities of the Circulation Plan "revealed that virtually all intersections within the City would continue to operate well within limiting values after their occupancy". However, the character of the traffic along Calle Tampico and its intersection with Washington dictates consideration of down scaling the two high density areas along 'Washington (to avoid turning movement problems), - 1 - BJ/RPTTB.09B • and a closer look at the other high density areas in the vicinity of "The Village". "'...it is concluded that the current location for high density uses should be replaced with medium density. Further, given land area locations that are still available along Highway 111, Washington, and Jefferson Streets, higher density land uses should be planned for those areas." :PART 4: Summary of Staff Analysis on: A. Comparison of Seven High Density Areas. B. General Plan and three alternative Scenarios for Residential Land Use Designations. A. Seven General Plan Designated High Density Areas. The General Plan designated seven areas for high density (8-16 du/ac). These areas have been subjected to considerable study as to their potential for high density (compared to other alternatives). The following Map Exhibit 1 indicates the general location of these seven high density areas. The following Table, Exhibit 2 summarizes the analysis of the seven areas and presents a recommendation for each area in terms of both General Plan designation and later zoning changes (if warranted). Following the Table is a discussion of some of the salient points leading to the recommendations. - 2 - BJ/RPTTB.09B FIQOD AREA 1 = 28 ACRES AREA 2 = 11 ACRES AREA 3 = 48 ACRES AREA 4 = 8 ACRES AREA 5 = 45 ACRES AREA 8 = 18 ACRES AREA 7 = 8 ACRES C W W = M� r � AVENUE HIGHWAY 111 O ® Z s O Z < W ® � � Z � W W fit. dc 7 NOTE: LOCATIONS ARE GENERAL - SPECIFIC SCALE NOT INTENDED 4 IVE GENERALPLAN DESIGNATED HIGH DENSITY AREAS Exhibit 1 IVE a a 4'0 . it I 0 V4 a woVy a • ® Go w + u Its e a ad 0 w In y+� 41 >1 �A� a .+a of so I o ,d%�-04 b9: ecy 2Nd 1WLn m10 blN a � 11 Id Id s q > Q > taC M (A$4oS: r-f�Cib ANV10 3 Awem (ALa� w « w H Q W 0 Q u Q N S fi B Q H w H vI n H 0 a in IOd P u .c > r� qw z cc 1-4 1 1 gn NN 1 ococa a N LO O 0 u w w 00 a •rl w Ok v av ow 101 coo Nea a� v�u SONd A a V O 9v O 41 a •.d ON to aN a 8ab ww 0 w p Ai b a w w e N ft v a C b Ln qw d V aOc W4 i to fV FT I H. 0 344 N O as 0 v�.ca 0� "4 a141 V4 MI if H in 47 on �+ x 1 0 01 1 C 4 di y N 0 "4 Id 1"4u aMI Pi 04 6 04 w a w ad Id Id ad b a 0 > > > > W W bd � 1 1 N M r4 N �c a a OK a ra a% r♦ � w C U � � a ai1w ;;>v°Id w C. 0-A1 �wa u t� .� id A ta>a z31 fV 9" y c0� d co qr E '4' u 3C4 W u, m� 0 aw a a1 in O +j O 0 wa � 3 0 4 0 I d adlwa •v(A tlylawald zu z 3 3 p1bi G au cvu1�IT 9 of a w v +1 u � a C a �o y m d a N � u a ON V d1 • u b Ind tv w V4 u d v a a O� y u a x. ri 4 �I p r4 C9 d V � w y r-1 d a Op Ala y v � b d as a> A�aw �ff wi a w 0 w0v w a V 0 -4 to do £ wba a ba ►+ 8L � a DISCUSSION OF POTENTIAL FOR HIGH DENSITY FOR EACH AREA Area 1: (Northwest corner Washington and Tampico) The "location" is poor for high density in that it is on the outside edge of the Village area - and on the side toward Highway 111 - so that its population would not likely support The Village commercial development. The location is too far removed from The Village core for good pedestrian interaction. The "compatibility" is poor because of its location along Washington -- an image corridor emphasizing low density appearance -- and the conflict with the low density lots along the other side of Washington. The "access" is poor because no access can be permitted along Washington (sight distance and separation problems with the elevated bridge and proximity to Tampico°s intersection). Any access along Tampico must be at least 300 feet removed (to the west) from the Washington crosswalk. A second access along Tampico would be essential for high density, but not likely, given the frontage available. The market is fair because the site is approximately half the absorption acreage predicted for high density, but the location is far removed from likely employment centers, significant shopping, services, and other Valley amenities. Area #2: (Southwest corner Washington and Tampico) The "location" is poor for the same reasons as Area 01. The "compatibility is also poor for the same reasons as Area #1. In addition, Area #2 abuts medium density (but single family lots) on the south. The "access" is fair (only slightly better than Area #1) because turning movements at Tampico are not absolutely required. If Tampico is used for access, a 300 foot space should be provided between Washington and the access point. Access could be taken from Washington or from La Fonda off Washington (but that would put traffic past single-family lots). Being on the same side of Tampico as The Village core, pedestrian interaction could be accommodated. The "market" for high density in this location would be fair (the size is right) but the opportunities for amenities would be limited, and proximity to significant shopping and employment opportunities are too far removed. Now that Area #2 is in City ownership as a prospective Civic Center location, this area should be removed from the high density residential land use category. Area #3: (North of Whitewater Wash, Adams to Dune Palms South of Westward Ho) The "location" is fair water crossir:g through Westward Ho. It is end. "Compat.ibility" is along Westward Ho and developing largely as to w because the site is north of the low Whitewater Wash off Dune Palms and somewhat remote, especially its eastern poor in that the area to the east north along Dune Palms appears to be density areas. The western end of BJ/RPTTB.09B - 3 - • the area is nearer Adams and is closer to medium density prospects. "Access" could be good, in that the area touches both Dune Palms and Adams, although Adams will be the more major route. Along Adams, the area has a smaller frontage, making access with good sight distance removed from the Wash more difficult. Area #3 has a poor "market" potential because of its 49 acre size, exceeding the projected high density absorption for the year 2020. Area 4: (South of the new alignment of Avenue 52, east of Bermudas, north of the Desert Club property). The "location" is only fair in that it lies close to The Village but, the area is on the far side of Avenue 52, making pedestrian access across Avenue 52 and through The Village South area to the commercial Core unlikely. "Compatibility" for Area #4 is only fair because, although the Desert Club lies to the south and Village Commercial lies across Avenue 52 to the north, lower and medium density residential lie to the east and west (respectively) of the area. "Access" to Area #4 is good, due to Avenue 52 (although on -site access must avoid the intersection with Bermudas). The "market" for Area #4 would be good given the., small size of the area, except for its extremely removed location from significant Valley shopping, service, and employment opportunities. Its position on two traffic ways would lessen its appeal for family housing, leaving the market narrowed to singles and seniors. Singles, being more attuned to location, would prefer to be nearer to employment. Seniors, given choices, prefer to be nearer shopping, services, medical, and recreational opportunities. Area #5: (North of Whitewater Wash, west of Adams) The "location" is good in that the area along Washington and its extension along the Whitewater Wash down to Adams appears to be developing as medium or higher density. "Compatibility" for Area #5 is less likely to be a problem. Less single family development will surround this area than areas further east. What single family development eventually abuts this area will not be pre-existing but either simultaneous or subsequent, meaning that buffer arrangements can be designed in. "Access" to Area #5 is good, due to both Adams (which has on arterial status south of Highway 111) and its greater proximity to Washington via Miles. The "market" for Area #5 as high density will be limited (i.e.," poor") due to the size of the area (exceeding the projected acreage left to be absorbed). Area #6: (East of Eisenhower, north of Tampico, south of Bear Creek Channel) The °'location" of this area is reasonably good, due to its proximity to The Village Commercial area, especially because it abuts the fluture commercial expansion area north of Tampico. "Compatibility" of Area #6 is excellent because it has the Bear - 4 - BJ/RPTTB.09B Creek Channel. to the north, Eisenhower and the golf course to the west, and Village Commercial on the south and east. "Access" to Area #6 is only fair because of the bridge on Eisenhower over the Bear Creek Channel. Because of sight distance and separation problems, no direct access may be permitted from this area onto Eisenhower. Access to this area must come primarily from an extension of Bermudas north of Tampico, and through The Village Commercial to the south, using the commercial access exit onto Eisenhower (if one is permitted) or onto Tampico east of Eisenhower. The "market" for high density is fair due largely to the size of the area and its location, removed from major shopping, service, employment and transportational opportunities of the Valley as a whole. Area #7: (Southeast corner of Eisenhower and Tampico, north of La Quinta Park) The "location"' of this area is good because of its relationship to The Village Commercial area (on the correct side of major thoroughfares). As for "compatibility", the area lies between Village Commercial on three sides, while across Eisenhower, the actual land uses are higher density residential. Thus compatibility is excellent. "Access" to Area #7 is excellent in that it is served by Tampico, Eisenhower and Bermudas at multiple points, so that congestion is less likely. The "market" is good from two perspectives. This is the smallest area designated high density, being one -sixth the acreage projected to be absorbed. Moreover, the area is already subdivided into numerous smaller blocks and lots, which will :result in smaller projects - a marketing plus. The market is already proven for this location because almost half of the area is already developed in high density residential. The remainder will be merely in -fill. Even so, the market will be limited by the same locational disadvantage suffered by all of the Cove area, due to its distance from Valley employment, major shopping, service, and transportational opportunities. - 5 - BJ/RPTTB.09B i PART 4B. GENERAL PLAN AND THREE ALT RE:SIDE:NTIAL DENSITY DESIGN WIVE SCENARIOS FOR I. ACREAGE IMPLICATIONS OF MARKET ABOSRPTION STUDY. A. Market Study In the year 2020, market absorption projections suggest the following acreages and percentages of acres, broken down by densities: Density Acres % Low (avg. 3 du/ac) 2683 73.5 Medium (avg. 15 du/ac) 673 18.4 Medium High (avg 10 du/ac) 247 6.8 High (avg. 14 du/ac) 49 1.3 3652 100% B. Comparison of Market Absorption to General Plan: The General Plan designations by density are as follows: Density Acres % Low (very, low and low combined) 5810 72.6 Medium 1825 22.8 Medium High ('N/A) -- -' '.High (medium high and high) 368.5 4.6 8003.5 100% C. Analysis As can be seen by comparing the two tables, the average percentages for low and medium densities are not too dissimilar. However, the acreage figures in the General Plan are more than twice the projected absorption by the year 2020. The medium density figures have some potential for mis -interpretation however. The Cove area, while technically medium density (due to the historical creation of very small lots) is still single-family detached in product type, and hence competes (with a price advantage) in the low density market. Lot sizes such as are found in the Cove will not be replicated elsewhere in La Quinta. The Cove medium density lots account for 927 acres (approximately half) of the medium density General Plan acreage. BJ/RPTTB.09B • In terms of market absorption however, the Cove lots should be considered as a special case of low density. The in -fill of the Cove SFR detached lots (3250) could be completed by the year 2020 at the rate of construction experienced in the last five years. Therefore, the best way to interpret the market projection for medium density is to expect a different product type than can be placed in the SR Zone of the Cove and to count the new medium density acreage as being found elsewhere. The other half of the question comes to the foreground, however. If the Cove is to be considered a special case of low density, and as direct competition for absorption against new low density areas, and if the Cove is only 40.7 filled in, should we count the remaining in -fill against the projected low density absorption? The answer is that we probably should. Therefore, we might expect 927 acres to be absorbed as if it were low density in the Cove out of the 2683 acres projected. This understanding calls for an adjustment to our tables. An adjusted market absorption might appear as follows: Density Acres % Low 1756 48.1 Cove (as if low) 927 25.4 Medium (not in Cove) 673 18.4 Medium High 247 6.8 High 49 1.3 3652 100% A correspondingly adjusted General Plan acreage table might appear as follows: Density Low Cove (as if low) Medium (not in Cove) High Acres % 5810 72.6 927 11.6 898 11.2 368.5 4.6 8003 100% 7 - BJ/RPTTB.09B i II. If these two adjusted tables are compared, several interesting conclusions are suggested. 1. Residential land will .only be about 45% absorbed overall by the year 2020. 2,. Low density residential land will only be about 30% absorbed by the year 2020. 3,. Low density plus the Cove accounts for 84% of the land inventory provided, but only about 74% of the land to be absorbed. Moreover, the acreages do not compare. There would be, in the year 2020, about 4000 surplus acres of low density land. 4.. Medium density absorption could be 18% compared to 11% of land provided, but the acreages are not far off: 898 acres provided versus 673 acres (74%) absorbed by 2020. 5. High density shows an interesting discrepancy. 368 acres are provided versus 296 acres absorbed (80%). High density is 4.6% of the inventory provided and 8.1% of the absorption. But the breakdown of high density in the market study shows that the greatest portion of the absorption will be in the "medium high" category (8-12 du/ac) at 6.8% versus 1.3% of 12-16 du/ac). The market for truly high density therefore, is expected to be very minimal. 6. If left entirely to market dynamics, the profile of the community would be different from what the General Plan would lead one to expect. OTHER PLANNING CONSIDERATIONS. A. Image Corridors. In the General Plan, Highway 111, Washington, Eisenhower and Tampico are designated as "Primary Image Corridors". Jefferson, Avenue 50 and Avenue 52 are designated "Secondary Image Corridors". (Fred Waring, Miles and Avenue 48 should also be considered for image corridor status.) With regard to residential development, the impact of the image corridor is a need for a low density appearance, via height limitations (Policy 6.5.7). A supportive policy statement might read as follows: 8 - BJ/RPTTB.09B • "Within 150 feet of Image Corridor streets, all residential structures shall be low profile (one story), and clustered in no more than six units per structure. Beyond 150 feet, the residential structures shall be limited by the height restrictions for that location." But the "Image Corridor" concept also has implications for densities. Above a certain density, single story development is not feasible. As a result, along Avenue 48 on the north side between Washington and Jefferson, up to the quarter section east/west line (approximately 1,320 feet) and along the west side of Washington from Avenue 48 up to Avenue 47 (Highland Palms), for a depth of approximately 1,320 feet east, residential densities should not exceed "Medium Density" (4-8 du/ac). These areas enhance the image corridors and serve as a transition from low density south of Avenue 48 to higher density and commercial further north. B. Non -Residential Area Along Highway 111. Land along Highway 111 is too valuable to the City for eventual commercial development to be used in the near term for residential land uses. In addition, noise contours for Highway 111 suggest that significant structural protection would be necessary to render nearby residential development habitable. The eastern portion of the Highway Ill corridor is also subject to some flooding potential. For these reasons, residential land uses near Highway 111 are generally not appropriate. Specifically, in the areas between Highway 111 and the Whitewater Wash, and south of Highway 111 at least 660 feet (down to about Avenue 47) residential development as the primary land use should not be permitted. Any incidental residential uses proposed in these areas must: 1. Be a part of a larger mixed -use project; and, 2. Be a very small percentage of the total project square footage; and, 3. Be well integrated into the larger development (i.e., not a separate use); and, 4. Serve a legitimate necessary purpose for the development, such as employee housing; and, 5. Have a high ratio of affordability; and, 6. Be subject to specific approval by the City. 9 - BJ/RPTTB.09B 0 Except for integrated mixed -use uses should be located at least 111 and. generally along and/or Section 30. developments, residential 660 feet south of Highway south of Avenue 47 in To make clear the policy of the City reserving the immediate Highway ill Corridor for commercial development, a "non-residential area" is proposed in all three alternative scenarios. The guiding principle should be that commercial may displace residential within the Highway 111 Corridor, but residential shall not displace C. Mixed Residential and Commercial. In the: area of Highway 111 Corridor outside of the non-residential area, and especially where higher density residential development may be designated, such higher densities generate a market for, and are generally compatible with properly designed commercial facilities providing personal goods and services. Higher density residential together with commercial (and other facilities) constitute a typical "urban neighborhood mix". Such a mix might contain: --Higher density residential and associated recreational amen.'ties --Congregate living and nursing homes --Personal services --Small goods and convenience retail --Medical, dental, and related services --Finance, insurance, real estate, legal, etc. --Churches --Possible fire station Urban neighborhood mixed uses, including light commercial (personal services, small goods retail, and offices), could be mixed with residential (in any proportions)along Avenue 47 (Highland Palms) between Washington and Adams, and along Adams from Avenue 48 to Avenue 47. Further east between Adams and the La Quinta Evacuation Channel starting 1,320 feet north of Avenue 48 and up to a line south of Avenue 47 extended, higher density residential could be mixed with commercial or hotel uses (in any proportions). The only type of mixed -use (in place of a stated preferred use) which the City should consider in any location within the Highway 111 Corridor is a major hotel mixed with tourist -oriented commercial, intensive recreational, and/or seasonal residential, and/or limited permanent residential uses. A hotel should be permitted to displace residential to any depth south of Highway 111. - 10 - BJ/RPTTB.09B 0 D. Median Versus Maximum Density Per Acre. Parts I & II of the analysis (already submitted) used the maximum density per acre to calculate the outside number of dwelling units and population capacity provided by the General Plan. The calculations contained in this final analysis use median densities for the General Plan and for each alternative scenario. This results in more realistic figures. E. Commercial at Fred Waring and Washington. A small area of commercial is designated on the General Plan for this location. The area is neither large enough, nor does it have feasible access potential for commercial use. All three scenarios suggest conversion of this small area to medium density residential, consistent with its neighboring parcel. F. Highway 111 Specific Plan. Scenario #3 contains a preview of the direction now being considered by the Planning Commission for residential land uses within the Highway 111 Corridor. G. Givens. Existing development or entitlements such as approved specific plans are treated as "givens" and are not proposed for any changes - except for Village Pointe Apartments. H. Surplus Over Market Demand. In some cases, a scenario may propose what appears to be an over -supply of a particular density. This is done to accomplish three objectives. First, some locational choice should be provided among sites for a density with low acreage totals. No one site should have a monopoly on a particular density. Second, some "shrinkage" may be expected because a development may come in at a density below its designation. And third, mixed use (residential with commercial or quasi -public uses) will absorb some of the nominally residential land inventory for the higher density designations. I. I'!ow Absorption for Low Density. The market analysis suggests that La Quinta will not have absorbed even half of its low density land inventory by the year 2020. The year 2020 is used as a target for absorption for higher densities, but not for low density. A significant surplus is left for future low density absorption well beyond the year 2020. BJ/RPTTB.09B • 0 J. High Density Placement. The location of any high density residential should have one of two planning rationales: 1. Be within the Highway 111 Corridor and be within one quarter mile of either Highway 111 itself and/or Washington or Jefferson as Major Arterials; or 2. Be a functioning part of the Village. Higher density residential contributes to the pedestrian theme of The Village and helps create the critical market mass needed for The Village plan to succeed. The degree to which any high density residential is provided in the General Plan should be determined by the degree to which any market warrants a density bonus for providing affordable housing for the City. R. "Fighter Control Over Densities. The City should consider adopting a City Policy that medium, medium high, and high density designated acres are just that. Designated higher density areas should not be converted to other uses nor should they be developed at significantly lower densities. Higher density areas are placed on the General Plan for a purpose. Higher density areas should be considered reserve resources, not available for near term conversion. Higher density designations are placed where they are for reasons of traffic, infrastructure and the buffering of one use from another. If particular density areas are permitted to be converted to other uses, then later higher density uses will have to be forceably inserted into neighborhoods where they weren't planned from the beginning, causing even greater disruption and impact. �,. Present Medium Density Trends. As an outgrowth of the previous point, some adjustment of medium density seems warranted. Much of the existing medium density designated land is in an area where land prices are relatively cheaper. It doesn't seem realistic to hold this land for future medium density when there is a present market for 7,200 square foot lots for single-family residential at low densities. Medium density should be designated for areas where land prices are/or will be higher. This helps guarantee its use for non -single-family residential detached (i.e., medium density) products. Therefore, in the Scenarios, - 12 - BJ/RPTTB.09B 0 much of the medium density inventory along Miles is shifted south into the Highway 111 Corridor. M. Parcels oc CateQor Two Resid i A distinction between one density and another should be placed on the .map for reasons of access, compatibility, etc. When a parcel is split between two density categories, the two areas should be treated separately, not. averaged. N. Affordable Housing. The analysis of the implications of the SCAG Regional Housing Needs Analysis and La Quinta's resulting obligation for providing afforable housing is not yet completed. However, early reviews suggest that La Quinta will have a sizeable obligation. Affordability is the key. All mechanisms for providing housing afforability will have to be examined. One opportunity is to require a minimum affordable component of all higher density projects, and to provide incentives for higher percentages of afforability. Residential land uses exceeding eight units per acre should contain provisions for requiring low and moderate income household affordability (up to 25 percent maximum, of the total units for any one project). A minimum of five percent of the units should be required to be affordable to low and moderate income households. Density bonuses for providing affordable housing should apply only to projects in which more than five percent of the units are affordable to low and moderate income households, as in the following table: Percent Affordable Bonus 5.0% Required 0% 5.1% - 10.0% . 10.0% 10.1% - 15.0% . 15.0% 15.1% - 20.0% : 20.0% 20.1% - 25.0% . 25.0% O. Design Excellence. Excellence of design should be density/intensity of land guidelines and standards. entitled to bonuses in use according to adopted - 13 - BJ/RPTTB.09B 0 P. Recreation. All residential development should provide sufficient internal active recreational facilities and passive open space. Q. Noise. Because noise contours in the Highway 111 Corridor provide no open locations where exterior noise levels fall below 60 CNEL (the acceptable exterior noise level), residential projects shall be designed so that exterior quiet areas (areas where noise levels are below 60 CNEL) are created for passive recreational uses. Interior noise levels shall meet interior standards for all residential locations. R. Maximum Densities. Residential land uses should not exceed approximately 16 dwelling units per acre (High Density), except for any bonuses for affordability and/or excellence in design. S. Higher Densities in the Highway 111 Corridor. Higher densities (exceeding 8 du/ac) if permitted, should be located south of 47th Avenue (except in Section 30 -- nearest to Washington -- where they may extend up to 660 feet north of 47th Avenue), and north of the quarter section east/west line (1,320 feet north of 48th Avenue), and at least 1,320 feet west of Washington. See Scenario #3. T. Strategy for Consistency with the General Plan. At the same time that the Highway Ill Specific Plan is being finalized, a number of amendments to the General Plan should be considered: 1. The General Plan needs to be amended to allow residential uses in greater than 30-percent proportions where appropriate. Residential should be a designated land use in some portions of the Highway 111 Corridor, and a mixed -use option (in any proportion) in other appropriate locations. 2. The mixed -use commercial land use designation presented in the General Plan, should be amended in the General Plan to a more specific pattern of preferred uses presented in the Highway Ill Specific Plan. - 14 - BJ/RPTTB.09B 0 3. As; soon as practicable after the adoption of the Highway 111 Specific Plan, the City should initiate rezoning of all land within the Corridor to a zoning classification consistent with the Specific Plan land use designations. 4. The Zoning Ordinance Commercial" should create only specific uses and The subzones should be preferred uses expressed Alternatives for preferred but will require a change Amendment for "Mixed subzones, within which mixes will be permitted. consistent with the in this Specific Plan. uses will be specified, of zone/subzone. 5. As; an outgrowth of the multi -family residential density study, the residential densities designated in the General Plan may need to be further refined from four categories into five categories by breaking High Density into two levels*: o Very Low Density: 0 - 2 du/ac o Low Density: 2 - 4 du/ac o Medium Density: 4 - 8 du/ac o *Medium High Density: 8 -12 du/ac o *High Density: 12 -16 du/ac This refinement would permit a more precise control of impacts and compatibility among residential land uses. The exact placement of any particular density within the Highway 111 Corridor will be determined by the City Council''s decision on how much of any particular density is foreseen as necessary, based on the alternative scenario chosen as appropriate for La Quintals future. I:II. GENERAL PLAN A. Notes on General Plan Residential: 1. The General Plan provides for seven designated high (8-16 du/ac) areas - two in the north and five around The Village - totaling 160.5 acres. 2. Mixed Use Commercial contains a provision for up to 30% (by acreage) of residential - presumably high density (8-16 du/ac) - amounting to approximately 208 additional high density acres anywhere in the Highway Ill Corridor. 3. Medium density is concentrated in three areas: north of Whitewater Wash west of Dune Palms; the Cove (technically medium density, - 15 - BJ/RPTTB.09B C 4. but single-family character), dating subdivision activity now sub -standard size 72' X 100'); and an detached lots in from historical resulting in what are lots (50' X 100' vs. array of medium density areas through the south center of the City resulting from several specific plans of more recent origin. Of these, the area south of Bear Creek Channel (approved as part of Duna La guinta) knowns as Village Pointe Apartments is designated medium density but contains the accumulated left -over densities of other parts of the same specific plan, and as a result, (if built out at full entitled units) would create an actual very high density area adjacent to the Village Commercial north of Tampico. The plot plan for Village Pointe Apartments has expired. However, a subsequent application may attempt to capture most of the leftover units from the Specific Plan. The General Plan designation for this area will be critical. Low density residential characterizes areas. the remaining BJ/RPTTB.09B - 16 - 0 B. General Plan Maps --North Portion: Exhibit 3 --South Portion: Exhibit 4 - 17 - BJ/RPTTB.09B • Z A «0 A m � CD .� 1 � W CL }, 00 } O V Q Lu z Z W Q Z W CO) C Ljal ® ® S W t_7 2 _ W X_ 2 ❑ �=�� El Exhibit 3 1 r -iL• M-)r \ . C. Revised General Plan Profile, Based on Average Dwelling Units Per Acre (rather than maximums), and adjusted totals. Low Cove Medium High Totals ;Acres 5,810 927 898 368.5 8,003.5 @ 3/ac 6/ac 6/ac 12/ac Dwelling Units 17,430 5,562 5,388 4,422 32,802 Pers/HH @ 3 3 2.5 2.5 Population 52,290 16,686 13,470 11,055 93,501 BJ/RPTTB.09B - 18 - • 0 IV. ALTERNATIVE SCENARIOS. Three alternative scenarios have been developed to compare their policy implications with the existing General Plan. The alternatives are as follows: #1 - "Low Density Community" #2 - "Guided Market Demand" #3 - "Recommended" A. Scenario #1 - "Low Density Community". (1.) Notes on Scenario #1: (a.) Scenario emphasizes community intent to remain low density community. (b.) All present high density areas become medium density. (c.) Highest density provided is "Medium" (4-8). (d.) Medium density concentrated in three areas: (1.) Highway 111 Corridor (2.) Around The Village (3.) Existing medium density developments/commitments. (e.) Area north of Whitewater is reserved for Low Density Residential (other than existing and Option 1A). (f.) Option lA allows for an additional area of medium density north of Whitewater Wash, centered on Adams. (g.) Holds "Village Pointe Apartments" area to medium density (as presently designated). (h.) Existing area of very high density north of the park would be allowed to build out only at medium densities for the remainder, thereby lowering the average density in that area. - 19 - BJ/RPTTB.09B 0 0 (i.) Converts Commercial at Fred Waring and Washington to Medium Density Residential. (j.) Removes high density and mediums areas where Civic Center will be. (k.) "No residential" zone along Highway 111 from the north side of Whitewater Wash to 660 feet south of Highway 111 (plus down to within 330 feet of Avenue 47 in Section 30) except for west of Washington on south side of Highway 111 behind Plaza La Quinta. (1.) No higher than medium density along Washington and low along Jefferson. - 20 - BJ/RPTTB.09B (2.) Scenario #1 Maps --North Portion: Exhibit 5 --South Portion: Exhibit 6 - 21 - BJ/RPTTB.09B CL 0 0 z w z w LUUJ z w 3 0 0 CO -1 o w 2 m I z 0 z r LAI- F-11 w- v- -.0.j !W#' -WA 3A b s 4; 1.1 Exhibit 5 3 9 ki I 44 * - l' , H . -4-141 ---------- +* + 0, 40' JV 1 X 5 .T1•.W k , : LOW DENSITY (up to 4 at, ,• 1 F MEDIUM DENSITY (4-8/ac) • f 1 f l .• '• •a — ' •—_ — — - ---- ITO -- 1 j Exhibit 6 i i 0 Acres Dwelling Units Pers/HH @ Population. (3.) Scenario #1 - "Profile" Low Cove Medium High Med-Hi Hi Tot 6,645 927 587.5 0 0 0 8,1'35 3/ac 6/ac 6/ac 19,935 5,562 3,525 29,02; 3 3 2.5 59,805 16,686 8,813 85,304 Scenario #2 - "Guided Market Demand". (1.) Notes on Scenario #2 (a.) Scenario approaches averages and mix suggested by market absorption study, (but not to full extent and not in locations where market may attempt to place higher densities.) (b.) Exhibits full range of densities. (c.) Introduces a refinement of General Plan "high" (8-16 du/ac) into medium -high (8-12 du/ac) and high (12-16 du/ac). (d.) Recognizes trend of market location preference for low density SFR in north sector and reduces some medium to low. (e.) Recognizes the "Village Pointe" area as a potentially high density development location and scales remainder of Duna La Quinta west of Washington to its actual low density character. (f.) Allows an alternative high density area (in addition to Village Pointe) even though this exceeds the projected market absorption acreage, so that locational choice is made available. (g.) Provides a concentration of density in the Highway Ill Corridor. - 22 - BJ/RPTTB.09B 0 0 (h.) Recognizes the Washington Square proposal for high density along 47th alignment. Holds northwest corner Washington and Tampico at medium density (because of access problems). (j.) Down scales other three Village high density areas to "medium -high" (8-12). (k.) Recognizes Dune Palms Mobile Home Park as medium density. (1.) Converts small commercial corner at Fred Waring and Washington to medium density residential. (m.) Floats Option 2A as medium -high density north of Whitewater Wash along Adams (40 acres). (n.) Removes Civic Center high and medium density areas south of Tampico at Washington. (o.) Provides no higher than medium density along Washington, Jefferson, and Avenue 48 in keeping with the General Plan Image Corridor. (p.) Recognizes existing and/or commitments to medium density. (q.) Creates a "No residential" Highway 111. zone along - 23 - BJ/RPTTB.09B (2) Scenario #2 - "Maps" --North Portion: Exhibit 7 --South Portion: Exhibit 8 - 24 - BJ/RPTTB.09B OD uj co 1 cc CY 1 q* two OD 4c eat 0 z LU 0 z w z w Z -W w 0 cr. z w C.) 0 CO _j DEO-J-ov D . I w z 0 z DOE] - I _j . Adak-i I ir luccr4_ -. W ------------ IT ............ . ..... ! Mu*�H; tT: �+-:L+I I:t V ff �-Wt ......... . + ........... =* Im - - +Lflf- ........... ....... . ... 4** 3 L d S 4; 1 Exhibit 7 3 IV-61 S 19 1 ............... ................... • d ........ .................. . .............. .. .................. I ............... ........ ...... ..... . ....... A ***"** ........ I ................ 0 0 • (3.) Scenario #2 - "Profile" IOW Cove Medium High Med-Hi Hi Total Acres 5„958 927 1,074 0 115.5 86 8,16C @ 3 6 6 10 14 Dwelling Units 17,,874 5,562 6,444 0 1,155 1,204 321239 Pers/HH @ 3 3 2.5 2.5 2.5 Population 53,,622 16,686 16,110 0 2,888 3,010 92,316 C. Scenario #3 - "Recommended" (1.) Notes on Scenario #3 (a.) Scenario #3 is a "middle -ground" alternative leaning toward the provision of some limited higher densities, but placing them mostly in the Highway 111 Corridor, and downscaling most of the other density areas elsewhere in the community. (b.) Uses "medium high" refinement (8-12 du/ac). (c.) Provides "No residential" zone along Highway 111. (d.) North sector mostly low density but some medium density is provided along Washington and stair stepping down along Whitewater Wash to cross Adams. (e.) Northwest corner Washington and Tampico held at medium density (access and separation problems). (f.) Area north of Desert Club (south of new Avenue 52) downscaled to medium density. (g.) Area along Eisenhower north Tampico downscaled to medium -high density. (h.) Retain area north of Park as high density. - 25 - BJ/RPTTB.09B 0 (i.) Civic Center high and medium density areas removed. (j.) Recognizes medium densities existing/ commitments including specific Plan of Duna La Quinta except Village Pointe area: keeps at medium density on plan. (Density even with bonuses should not exceed "medium high" (8-12 du/ac) in this location.) (k.) Most of higher density areas concentrated near Highway 111. (1.) Small high density areas southwest of Adams and Avenue 47. (m.) No greater than medium density along Washington, Jefferson and Avenue 48. (n.) Possibility of higher density Residential and Urban Commercial Mix along Avenue 47 and Adams. (o.) Medium -high density with potential hotel/commercial mix south of no residential zone from east of Adams to La Quinta Stormwater Evacuation Channel. BJ/RPTTB.09B - 26 - 0 0 (2>) Scenario #3 - "Maps" --North Portion: Exhibit 9 --South Portion: Exhibit 10 - 27 - BJ/RPTTB.09B � A U N A 4 w m a,ID M v O ; 4/ } g 4c J 4c N W cc Z p z p Z N _ U 3 OJ 0 w vd El0 W ® O ; Z - m J l____-_ r iri . ..... ..... • • • • • • • • e•e•e•e• •e•e•e • • • • !s•� • • • • • • • • • • 444144+4 .•TTIT. ..-• . r • • • • • • O • • • • O • ieee• • 1f � 1� 1� }t • • O • • • • O • • • • O •_ :JI•� • •� ` • • • • • • • • • • • • • • •e•e•e•e•ese•• • • • o • • • • ( E r 7 e e•'� . • • • •esesesesese!• • • • o • • • + •e•e••�•s�.�••e•e••oe• .... _......+._.r.. Lc KdWdWF ...... 3 c b s s -l--� Exhibit 9 3 o tl �L 4 N 40 n I� • I ••:1f�:1Y': • • • '�IIAYI ti1.� ••iTr-r•T•T•TT 1 22 • 3 ..: E .•.. �r • .. 1t+; O ob fr 04 me Moo 00 to •. i •• ��}�•��•••� y ► > �,� ITN�gttltf lttfitl•titltH�#14kaosenoase.i isle III tiltilptilatgat11' ..............' ...................... r .. i ti 1 SCENARIO #3-;-;,:- S Y a LOW DENSITY (Up to 4/ac) "• MEDIUM DENSITY (4-8/ac) 'MED HI DENSITY (8-12/ac)'E� 'HIGH DENSITY (12-16/ac)' r + � Exhibit 10 `_ t f 0 (3.) Scenario #3 - "Profile" Low Cove Medium High Med-Hi Hi Tota: Acres 6,151 927 961 0 69 47.5 8,155 @ 3 6 6 10 14 Dwelling Units 18,453 5,562 5,766 0 690 665 31,136 Pers/HH @ 3 3 2.5 2.5 2.5 Population 55,359 16,686 14,414 0 1,725 1,663 89,848 (4�.) Comparing the Scenario #3 ("Recommended") to the Adjusted Market Absorption Acreage Projections for 2020, we see that: (a.) 1756 acres will have been absorbed of low density, leaving an unabsorbed surplus of 4395 acres. (b.) All 927 acres of Cove lots would be absorbed. (c.) of the "not in Cove" medium density, 673 acres would be absorbed, leaving 288 unabsorbed surplus acre. (d.) All of 69 acres of medium -high would be absorbed, leaving an un-met market for 178 additional medium -high density acres. (e.) All 47.5 acres of high density would be absorbed, leaving a possible market for a few additional acres. - 28 - BJ/RPTTB.09B F Percent of Acres, Dwelling Units and Population by General Low Market Recommended Denisty for each Scenario Plan #1 #2 #3 % Acres 72.6 81.4 73 75.4 p Dus 53.1 68.7 55.4 59.3 a % Population 55.9 70.1 58.1 61.6 Acres 84.2 92.8 84.4 86.8 aw a Dus 70.1 87.9 72.7 77.1 S v 0 a % Population 73.8 89.7 76.2 80.2 61% Acres 11.2 7.2 13.2 11.8 AID Dus 16.4 12.1 2.0 18.5 w Z% Population 14.4 10.3 17.5 16.0 % Acres N/A 0 1.4 0.8 ox q H % Dus N/A 0 3.6 2.2 wx z % Population N/A 0 3.1 1.9 % Acres 4.6 0 1.1 0.6 x x% Dus 13.5 0 3.7 2.1 % Population 11.8 0 3.3 1.9 Exhibit I 1 KH/DOCTB.003 -30-