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FM3 Research Proposal to Conduct a Public Safety Resident Survey for the City of La Quinta Submitted by FM3 Research Contact: John Fairbank | Adam Sonenshein Partner | Vice President February 27, 2019 921-5089 Page 2 TO Frank Spevacek, City Manager City of La Quinta FROM John Fairbank & Adam Sonenshein FM3 Research RE: Proposal to Conduct a Public Safety Resident Survey for the City of La Quinta DATE February 27, 2019 Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates (FM3) is pleased to submit this short proposal to conduct research assessing La Quinta residents’ awareness and perceptions of the City’s public safety camera pilot program. This proposal is organized into four sections: Section 1 discusses FM3’s understanding of the project objectives; Section 2 reviews our relevant experience; Section 3 summarizes our proposed research approach and methodology for this project; and Section 4 outlines FM3’s proposed research specifications and estimated costs. 1 PROJECT UNDERSTANDING FM3 understands that the City of La Quinta intends to undertake a public safety camera pilot program in the near future. These cameras, which will provide real-time video feeds for the City’s public safety Departments from multiple major intersections throughout the City, are part of the City of La Quinta’s efforts to leverage technology to improve the quality and cost-effectiveness of the public safety services it provides for the community. Specific goals for the pilot program include evaluating the system’s effectiveness in decreasing response times for first responders during emergencies in targeted intersections and increasing the efficiency of the City’s public safety personnel deployment in such a way that fewer personnel need to be deployed at any one time, producing cost savings for the City. As part of the evaluation of the public safety camera pilot program, the City of La Quinta wishes to acquire quantitative data about what residents know about the program, how they perceive it, if they feel it is effective at reducing crime, whether they support the policy of leveraging public safety cameras in intersections as an ongoing part of the City’s public safety deployment, and the best ways the City can communicate about the program including potentially by helping to address misinformation about the program. The research outlined in this proposal is designed to do exactly that. Page 3 2 RELEVANT EXPERIENCE 2.1 Experience in La Quinta, the Coachella Valley & Riverside County FM3 is proud to have provided extremely-accurate research for the City of La Quinta in the past that the City has leveraged to achieve its objectives. Specifically, our research for the City in 2014 helped inform the passage of Measure G, the City of La Quinta’s successful 1-cent sales tax measure, in the election of November 2016. The same project team of Partner John Fairbank and Vice President Adam Sonenshein will be engaged with the City throughout this proposed project as well. We also regularly provide research for other local public agencies throughout the Coachella Valley, including the cities of Cathedral City, Coachella, Desert Hot Springs, Indian Wells, Indio, Palm Desert, Palm Springs, the Desert Recreation District, the Palm Springs Unified School District, and the Riverside County Transportation Commission, among others. Beyond the Coachella Valley, FM3 has significant experience conducting research on behalf of both public and private organizations throughout Riverside County. Specifically, our firm has conducted research for 18 of Riverside County’s 28 incorporated cities, including Canyon Lake, Corona, Hemet, Menifee, Moreno Valley, Norco, Riverside, San Jacinto, Temecula, and Wildomar — in addition to the City of La Quinta itself and the seven other Coachella Valley cities cited above. Among FM3’s current and former special district clients, the firm has worked for the Beaumont Library District, Eastern Municipal Water District, and the Jurupa Area Recreation and Parks District. Further, FM3’s school district clients include Beaumont Unified School District, Corona-Norco Unified School District, Hemet Unified School District, Lake Elsinore Unified School District, Perris Elementary School District, Perris Union High School District, Riverside Unified School District, San Jacinto Unified School District, Yucaipa- Calimesa Unified School District and Mt. San Jacinto Community College District. In addition, FM3’s research helped the Riverside County Transportation Commission (RCTC) secure voter approval for the countywide one- half-cent transportation sales tax, Measure A. More recently, in 2017, FM3 conducted focus groups and a dual- mode survey of Riverside County voters for RCTC to examine the feasibility of an additional one-half-cent countywide transportation sales tax. FM3 also regularly conducts research among Riverside County residents on behalf of private sector clients, such as the Morongo Band of Mission Indians, Southern California Edison, SoCal Gas and Waste Management, as well as local elected officials and political candidates. In this capacity, our firm serves as pollsters for several state - level elected officials representing the various regions of Riverside County. This significant portfolio of work provides our team with current information regarding trends in local public opinion and issues of public concern. We would leverage this local knowledge, and our vast library of historic public opinion data from local residents, to benefit the research we would design and conduct for this project. Page 4 2.2 Experience with Public Safety Issues FM3 has a long history of collaborating with cities to assess city services and, specifically, public safety services. We have also worked with law enforcement organizations seeking to better understand local perceptions of their agencies and determine areas of improvement. ➢ FM3 has vast experience examining California residents’ awareness and perceptions of public safety-related issues. The past few years have been a turbulent time for law enforcement as officer-related shootings across the country and use-of-force incidents are receiving more media coverage. Also, several major changes to California’s criminal justice system – the enactment of realignment and the passage of Proposition 36 in 2012 in particular – have put more pressure on law enforcement as the state releases low-level/non-violent offenders from state prisons, and local public safety agencies are required to take on more responsibility for either incarcerating or monitoring these criminals. And, after years of the crime rate declining to record low levels, recent reports suggest that the crime rate is increasing in California. Further, public attitudes will continue to evolve as marijuana legalization and drug policy reform proposals are implemented in California and across the nation and policymakers nationwide re-examine sentencing policies. In this context, FM3 conducts surveys for cities (ranging in size from large cities such as Los Angeles, Long Beach, and Oakland to smaller communities such as West Hollywood, Livermore, and Hawaiian Gardens) to determine residents’ and voters’ attitudes about their local law enforcement agencies, concerns for their personal safety in their neighborhoods and larger surrounding communities, as well as their support for efforts to improve public safety and relations between law enforcement and local residents in their community. In recent years, FM3 has also worked on behalf of San Francisco, Los Angeles, Long Beach, Kern County, Modesto, and Oxnard first responders to ascertain residents’ and/or voters’ views of their respective police departments, and whether they support initiatives to improve policing in their respective jurisdictions, as well as more specific policing issues, such as body cameras, tasers, and the use of force. In many of these surveys, respondents were asked if they have ever needed to call the police. Whether or not respondents have ever reported needing law enforcement has then been examined to identify differences between groups in their perceptions of crime, awareness of police services, and support for public policy initiatives. ➢ FM3 has worked for dozens of cities on surveys that evaluate a range of city services, including public safety priorities and satisfaction. Our clients for this service have included Anaheim, Bellflower*1, Capitola*, Carson*, Citrus Heights, Concord, Coronado*, Chico, Dana Point*, Del Mar, Dublin*, El Monte, Fairfield, Folsom, Fremont*, Grass Valley, Hawaiian Gardens*, Hemet, Hercules, Irvine, La Habra, Lakewood*, Larkspur, Livermore (Police Department), Los Angeles, Long Beach (Police Department)*, Manhattan Beach, Millbrae, Milpitas, Modesto*, Moreno Valley, Oakland*, Palo Alto, Palos Verdes Estates, Pasadena*, Pleasanton*, Rancho Cordova, Rancho Palos Verdes (Parks and Recreation Department), Rancho Santa Margarita*, Redondo Beach, San Francisco*, San José*, San Juan Capistrano, San Luis Obispo*, San Ramon*, 1 * Denotes cities where FM3 has conducted two or more citizen satisfaction surveys. Page 5 Santa Barbara*, Santa Monica*, Saratoga, Signal Hill, South Gate, Stanton*, Sunnyvale, Torrance*, Ventura, and West Hollywood*. ➢ Over the years, FM3 has conducted research for numerous local law enforcement officers’ associations. This work involves helping leadership during budget negotiations, respond to public crises and develop policy initiatives to improve public safety services. FM3 clients have included Long Beach POA, Los Angeles Police Protective League, West Covina POA, Hawthorne POA, the Association for Los Angeles County Deputy Sheriffs, Kern Law Enforcement Association (representing Kern County Deputy Sheriffs), San José POA, and the San Francisco POA on a wide range of issues. FM3’s research for the Long Beach POA and the Mayor of Long Beach played a crucial role in passing a local sales tax increase in June 2016 that provides significant new funding for law enforcement in Long Beach, and our work for the Hawthorne POA helped secure passage for a similar sales tax measure in the City of Hawthorne in November 2017. Our firm also conducted research for the Los Angeles Police Protective League to help secure voter approval for a municipal charter amendment on the May 2017 Los Angeles ballot regarding the procedure for police officer disciplinary cases. ➢ FM3 frequently works on law enforcement and public safety issues at the statewide level. Our firm regularly provides research on statewide issues for the Peace Officers Research Association of California (PORAC). We also worked with the League of California Cities and the California State Association of Counties during the development of the Governor’s realignment policy – and on Proposition 30 to provide local governments a secure source of funding as they were being asked to shoulder greater responsibility for incarcerating and monitoring convicted felons. Page 6 2.3 Experience Helping Public Agencies Get Resident Input FM3 often works with public agencies to get input from residents to help guide strategic decision-making and communications on issues that are not related to elections. For the Central School District, we designed and conducted a survey that helped the District identify if residents preferred to build a new high school or to renovate an existing one and rearrange district attendance boundaries; we helped the City of Dana Point understand residents preferences on City Council redistricting; we conducted a parent survey on preferences on the school- year calendar for the Capistrano Unified School District; we worked with the Riverside Unified School District on a project to help them understand what current and potential parents are looking for in a school for their child(ren) and how the school district could best communicate about its offerings; FM3 helped the cities of Temecula and Hemet shape their policies on cannabis business regulation; and we aided the Transportation Corridor Agencies of Orange County (TCA) in learning about how to communicate about their environmental stewardship, among many other examples. 3 METHODOLOGICAL CONSIDERATIONS 3.1 Address-Based Dual Mode Residential Survey The proportion of Americans willing to participate in public opinion survey research by way of telephone interviews has been in a long-term, industrywide decline for more than a decade. This trend is understood by industry experts and academic researchers to be the result of both behavioral and technological changes, and a consensus is emerging that the most effective way for opinion research practitioners to adapt to these changes is by providing greater opportunities for web-based participation in opinion survey research, through a variety of platforms – not only computers and laptops, but various mobile devices and smartphones as well. FM3’s recommended, address-based, dual mode (telephone and online) methodology incorporates all of these emerging best-practices, and provides the additional advantage of offering a way for respondents who have no telephone number or email address available via public or consumer records to participate in the survey. As discussed in detail below, FM3 provides the option of contacting these respondents via mail, so that they will receive a postcard invitation to participate in the survey that includes a unique URL they can use to do so. While this optional aspect of the survey outreach does not always generate large numbers of additional respondents, it does produce a more inclusive sample by ensuring these hard-to-reach residents are provided an equal opportunity to participate in the survey. How it Works The contemporary approach for gathering statistically-reliable data on the opinions of adult residents within a given jurisdiction is to draw a stratified, random sample of residential households (sourced from lists provided either by the City itself, or alternately, the U.S. Postal Service), then match these residential addresses against publicly-available consumer and voter registration records to acquire the residents’ names and current contact information (phone numbers and email addresses), and finally, interview them by telephone and online. The resulting data is weighted using figures from the U.S. Census Bureau to ensure that every demographic and Page 7 geographic community within the surveyed jurisdiction is proportionally represented by the final survey results. This process is illustrated graphically by Figure 1 below. Figure 1: Address-Based Sampling Survey (10 Interview Example) Using this address-based, dual mode data collection methodology, FM3 collects survey data in two phases, each described in turn below. Phase IA: E-Mail Prompted Online Interviews During this phase, FM3 will pull a stratified random sample of residential households in the targeted Zip Codes (sourced from comprehensive lists of all residential addresses provided either by the City or the U.S. Postal Service) and identify the names, phone numbers, and email addresses for their adult residents. We will acquire this name and contact information data from two major sources: • The voter file maintained by Riverside County; and • Commercially available consumer records Page 8 Once FM3 has identified email addresses for the desired number of respondents, an invitation will be sent to all individuals for whom an email address is available. To encourage the greatest level of participation possible, we recommend the email invitation include the City’s actual electronic seal or logo, with a note explaining that the City has hired an independent public opinion research firm to conduct a survey about local issues that are relevant to its residents and have this electronic document “signed” by a senior City official. The email invitation will provide a unique link for the resident to take the survey online (which can only be used once). Three to four days after this initial email invitation is sent, a reminder email will be directed to recipients who have not yet taken the survey, requesting that they do so. Phase IB: Postcard-Prompted Online Interviews (OPTIONAL) In parallel with the distribution of the first e-mailed survey invitation, FM3 can also mail a postcard invitation to a subset of residential households within our stratified random sample which do not have a telephone number or email address on public record, to ensure that these residents are equally eligible to participate in the survey. The postcard, like the email invitation, would be framed as a request from the City to participate, and include a written invitation to take the survey online with a unique URL provided at which to do so. Phase II: Telephone Interviews Within a week of the initial distribution of invitation emails (and postcards, if applicable), FM3 will conduct a thorough examination of the demographic characteristics of those who have taken the survey online. By comparing the demographic characteristics of those who have completed the survey online with the attributes of the adult resident population as a whole, FM3 will note specific subsets that are either overrepresented or underrepresented in the online sample. In many communities, those who opt to take a survey online tend to be younger and/or more affluent than the broader population. FM3 will then conduct further interviews with additional respondents by telephone. The telephone interviews will be conducted primarily among respondents who were underrepresented in the online sample, thereby producing an overall survey sample using both methodologies (online and telephone) that mirrors the adult resident population. 3.2 Translation Given that approximately 32 percent of La Quinta residents are of Latino/Hispanic origin, we recommend translating the survey into Spanish so that respondents who would prefer taking the survey in that language have the option of doing so. Page 9 4 RESEARCH SPECIFICATIONS & ESTIMATED COSTS Research Methodology Address-based residential survey Data Collection Mode Telephone and online interviews Respondent Contact Method Telephone calls + Email invitations Sample 400 City of La Quinta residents ages 18+ Margin of Sampling Error ±4.9 percent in 95 out of 100 cases for a sample of 400 interviews Questionnaire 15- to 20-minute questionnaire, including approximately 40-75 unique questions (including battery question items and demographic questions). The length of the questionnaire will be determined jointly by FM3 and the City, based on an evaluation of the questions that are necessary to provide the City with the information it needs. Language Telephone interviews will be conducted in English and Spanish. Online interviews will be conducted in English, only. Deliverables Following the completion of the survey, we will provide: • A questionnaire with the topline results of the survey for easy reference • A complete set of crosstabs in an easy-to-read, comprehensive format • Verbatim responses to any open-ended questions • A complete analysis of survey results in PowerPoint • A presentation of the survey results FM3 will also be available for ongoing consultation and any further analysis of the research. Cost Figure 2 below contains the total estimated costs for this research. These prices are comprehensive, and include all costs for questionnaire design, Spanish translation, sample acquisition and preparation, programming, email invitations, survey hosting, bilingual telephone interviewing, data entry and analysis, and reporting. Figure 2: City of La Quinta Bilingual Resident Survey Costs Survey Length No Postcards With Postcards 15 minutes $33,850 $39,500 20 minutes $36,750 $41,750 Page 10 We would welcome the opportunity to work with you on this research, and if you have any questions or if there is any further information we can provide, please do not hesitate to contact us. Thank you for your consideration, and you may reach us in our Los Angeles office as follows: John Fairbank, Partner Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates (FM3) 12100 Wilshire Boulevard, Suite 350 Los Angeles, CA 90025 Phone: (310) 828-1183 (Office) John@FM3Research.com Adam Sonenshein, Vice President Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates (FM3) 12100 Wilshire Boulevard, Suite 350 Los Angeles, CA 90025 (310) 828-1183 (Office) Adam@FM3Research.com