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SP 2004-070 Codorniz - Fiscal Impact Analysis (2004)6-I SEDWAY GROUP Real Estate and Urban Economics CODORNIZ SPECIFIC PLAN LA QUINTA, CALIFORNIA FISCAL IMPACT ANALYSIS Prepared for: RJT HOMES -CODORNiz. LLC JUNE 2004 SEDWAY GROUP _ Real Estate and Urban Economics Wells Fargo Center 355 South Grand Avenue Suite 1200 June 15, 2004 Los Angeles, CA 90071 T 213 613 3750 F 213 613 3780 Chad Meyer sedway6sedway.com RJT Home -- Codomiz, LLC 79-700 Avenue 50 La Quinta, CA 92253 Re: Fiscal Impact Analysis — Codorniz Specific Plan Dear Mr. Meyer: Sedway Group/CB Richard Ellis Consulting is pleased to submit this fiscal impact analysis of the Codomiz Specific Plan for your proposed 145 -unit development at the SEC of Jefferson Street and 52"d Avenue in the City of La Quinta. The attached fiscal impact report demonstrates the one-time and ongoing General Fund fiscal impact of the proposed residential development as compared to the previously approved commercial development. We have also provided as a separate report, a market study for grocery -anchored neighborhood centers to demonstrate the infeasibility of the current approved Specific Plan 2001-054. If you have any questions please do not hesitate to call me at 213-613-3751 Sincerely, Thomas Jirovsky — Senior Managin Enclosure Enclosure a CB Richard Ellis Company SEDWAY GROUP CODOPINIZ FISCAL IMPACT ANALYSIS 1 Real Estate and Urban Economics FISCAL IMPACT ANALYSIS INTRODUCTION RJT Hames-Codorniz, LLC has submitted a proposal to the City of La Quinta to change the zoning and replace the previously approved Specific Plan 2001-054. As part of the public planning process, the City has requested a fiscal impact analysis of the Codomiz Specific Plan in the City of La Quinta. The fiscal impact analysis projects recurring public revenues and costs to the City's General Fund at full buildout and stabilized occupancy in constant 2004$. The fiscal analysis is based on current land use planning data, current population, employment FYE 2003 City Financial Report and 2003-04 City Budget. PROJECT LOCATION The proposed Project is on approximately 15 acres located in the southwest portion of the City of La Quinta in the southern Coachella Valley. It is most easily accessed via Jefferson Ave. north of the I- 10 freeway. The subject site is located in the southeast corner of 52`x' 'Street and Jefferson, as shown on Figure 1 on the following page. PROJECT DESCRIPTION For this analysis we prepared an analysis of three alternative development scenarios: l) Proposed Specific Plan with 145 residential units 2) Existing Specific Plan with 120,700 square foot grocery anchored center 3) General Commercial Zoning with 120,700 square foot of commercial office and pad retail Residential A total of 145 single-family residences and duplexes are planned on individual lots. The Project will provide housing for a projected population of 300 residents assuming 100% of the units are sold to full time residents. The housing sales prices are estimated at $290,000 to $350,000 for units ranging from 1,250 square feet to 1,550 square feet. The average price is estimated at $330,000. As a result, the Project's assessed valuation at completion is estimated at $47.8 million. Grocery Anchored Center The approved Specific Plan 2001-54 for the site calls for a 120,700 square foot shopping center with a 55,000 square foot supermarket, a 17,000 square foot drug store, 23,000 square feet of inline shops and 2 6,000 s quare f eet o f freestanding p ads. (See separate r eport f or market study a ddressing the feasibility of the neighborhood center). The estimated assessed value of such a center is estimated $18,000,000 at stabilized occupancy. This currently approved project would employ approximately 240 full time equivalent employees. PAGF. 1 CODORNIZ FISCAL IMPACT ANALYSIS FIGURE 1 Site Map PAGE 2 AVENUE 50 SEDWAY GROUP CODORNIZ FISCAL IMPACT ANALYSIS Real Estate and urban Economics Office/Retail Based on a market analysis prepared by Sedway Group/CBRE Consulting, there is a major oversupply of grocery stores within the trade area that will prevent the feasible development of the approved grocery anchored center within the next decade. Therefore, given the commercial zoning we prepared an alternative commercial development scenario that is possible within the current zoning. Total development would likely remain at 121,000 square feet of space, but the primary tenants (up to 80%) would probably be office and business services such as banking, real estate, insurance etc. Given the corner location, there would likely be demand for several freestanding fast food pads. The estimated assessed value of such a center is estimated $18,000,000 at stabilized occupancy. This alternative project would employ approximately 360 full time equivalent employees. FISCAL ANALYSIS SUMMARY The projected annual surplus (deficit) for all three development scenarios are summarized below. As expected, a successful neighborhood shopping center with a grocery anchor generates the highest fiscal impact. The proposed 100% residential project is slightly negative, but would yield over $900,000 in front-end b uilding p ermit and impact f ees. A n office/retail scenario, with 8 0% o ffice space, also generates a small annual deficit with less upfront impact fees, Residential Grocery Office/Retail Annual Surplus (Deficit) $(22,282) $118,187 $(9,547) One -Time Fees $921,475 $570,539 $570,539 Recurring Revenues & Expenses The proposed residential development plan generates a modest General Fund deficit assuming a 100% allocated cost for all general fund categories. At full build -out, the recurring annual revenues to the La Quinta General Fund are projected at $89,399. Recurring costs calculated on a per resident equivalent basis, are projected at $111,681, resulting in a projected recurring deficit of $22,282. General Fund Annual Fiscal Impact Comparison At Stabilized Occupancy Revenues $89,399 $201,542 $73,808 Expenses 111,681 83,355 83,355 Surplus (Deficit) $(22,282) $118,187 ($9,547) PAGE 3 SEDWAY GROUP I Real Estate and Urban Economics CODORNITZ SPECIFIC PLAN FISCAL IMPACT ANALYSIS EXHIBIT l City of La Quinta General Fund Recurring Revenues and Costs Codornitz Specific Plan In Constant 2004 Dollars Residential Grocery Commercial Alternative Alternative Alternative Annual Recurring Revenues Property tax $33,495 $12,600 $12,600 Property transfer tax 1,316 0 0 Sales taxes 21,750 180,000 50,000 Transient Occupancy Tax 0 0 0 Motor vehicle in -lieu tax 13,161 0 0 Other Intergovernmental 12,645 0 0 Franchise fees 5,329 4,410 4,410 License & permit fees 0 4,532 6,798 lnterest 0 0 0 Charges for services 1,703 0 Q Total Recurring Revenues $89,399 $201,542 $73,808 Annual Recurring Costs Police 30,332 25,102 25,102 Public Works 17,228 14,258 14,258 Building Department 10,096 8,356 8,356 Fire 14,368 11,891 11,891 Emergency services 208 172 172 Animal Control 2,050 0 0 Planning/Development 5,052 4,181 4,181 Community services 8,909 0 0 General Government 23,436 P 96 19,396 Total Recurring Costs $111,681 $83,355 $83,355 Annual Surplus(Deficit) ($22,282) $118,187 ($9,547) Source: City of La Quinta, CB Richard Ellis Consulting File: N:15harcdlSedwaylProposals & Jobs 20041RJT Homesl[Fiscall .xls]Exhibit 4 SEDWAY GROUP CODORNIZ FISCAL IMPACT ANALYSIS Real Estate and Urban Economics The Grocery -anchored center, at 90 percent occupancy, could generate an annual revenues of $201,542, due primarily to the potential sales taxes, assuming that there would be little or no capture from existing or future centers in La Quinta. If the grocery store is not developed, the project is likely to be developed primarily as office space with a moderate amount of retail. Due to the reduced sales tax, this scenario generates only $73,800 in revenues and results in an annual deficit of $9,547. See Exhibit 1 for a breakdown of revenue and expenses estimates for each scenario. One -Time Development Fees Development impact fees (excluding school fees) are estimated to generate one-time revenues to the City as shown below. Development Fee Comparison Grocery Office[Retail Permit & Plan Check Fees $572,750 $344,350 $344,350 Impact Fees 348 725 226, t89 226,189 Total Fees $921,475 $570,539 $570,539 LA QU NTA GENERAL FUND SUMMARY The F Y 2 003 G eneral F and a xpenditures w ere $15.3 in illion, o r a pproximately $ 500 p er f ull t ime resident. For FY 2004 the budget increased to $18.5 million, or approximately $600 per person. However, La Quinta has significant seasonal population from hotel visitors and second home owners that impact cost of city services, as well as significant automobile traffic visiting the City's Highway t I 1 commercial corridor. This analysis focuses on the recurring public revenues and costs to the City's General Fund. For this analysis, we developed cost and r evenue f actors based on the 2003 City Financial Report a nd the _- 2003-04 City budget using the Dept. of Finance estimated 2004 resident population of 32,522 people, estimated 7,500 seasonal full time resident equivalents (5,000 second homes/timeshares and 150,000 estimated hotel room nights) and 9,569 employees working in the City (per Claritas): General fund revenues and expenses were estimated by dividing the 2 003-04 budget c ategory by the number of normal residents, total resident and visitors or total residents and employees, where appropriate. See Exhibit 2 for a detailed breakdown by revenue and expense category for FY 02103 and the projected budget for FY 2003-04. PAGE 4 SE_DWAY GROUP Real Estate and Urban Economics CODORNITZ SPECIFIC PLAN FISCAL IMPACT ANALYSIS EXHIBIT 2 City of La Quinta General Fund Revenues and Expenses FY 2002103 FY 2003/04 % of Actual Sud et Total Annual Revenues Property tax Inc. Below $1,381,400 7.5% Property transfer tax Inc. Below 487,300 2.6% Sales taxes Inc. Below 4,200,000 22.7% Transient Occupancy tax Inc. Below 4,055,300 21.9% Franchise fees Inc. Below_ 597,600 3.2% Subtotal taxes 11,572,985 10,721,600 Motor vehicle in -lieu tax 1,426,200 1,475,900 8.0% Other Intergovernmental 2,967,846 2,597,500 14.0% License & permits 1,982,127 857,500 4.6% Fees Inc. 1,404,000 7.6% Charge For Services 2,302,759 Inc. Miscellaneous 87,236 0 0.0% Interest 1,$94.,.30_1 1,471,800 7,9% Total Revenues $22,233,456 $18,528,300 100.0% Annual Casts [Piet of Reimburserrtent Police $4,485,189 $5,186,869 28.1% Public Works 2,311,436 2,946,113 16.0% Building Department 1,998,832 1,726,532 9.4% Fire 1,525,113 2,456,950 13.3% Emergency services 23,159 35,590 0.2% Animal Control 170,115 229,922 1.2% Planning/Development 674,450 863,937 4.7% Community services 991,558 999,142 5.4% General Government 3.140,576 4,,007,684 21.7% Total Costs $15,320,428 $18,452,739 100.0% Surplus $6,913,028 $75,561 Source: City of La Quinta He: NASharedlScdwaylProposals & Jobs 20041RJT 11omesllFisca11.x1sjExhibit 4 SEAWAY GROUP CODORNIZ FISCAL IMPACT ANALYSIS I Real Estate anti urban Economics General Fund Recurring Revenues Projected recurring revenues from the proposed Codorniz Specific Plan to the City of La Quinta General Fund are calculated as follows: • Property Taxes -- Assessed value times 1 per cent basic tax rate times 7 percent allocated City share of the taxes (Source: La Quinta City Report 2003-04) • Property Transfer Taxes - $0.55 per $1,000 of assessed value and 5 percent turnover each year • Sales Taxes — 1 per cent of local retail spending estimated at $15,000 per household (60% of total retail spending potential) • Motor vehicle license in -lieu fees —Per capita revenue of $48.47 per person. • County Fire Service Credit - Per capita transfer amount to general fund of $45.51. • Franchise Fees- Fees based on cable TV and other utility usage. Per capita amount of $18.88. • Community Service Fees — per capita amount for program fees of $6.27 per person. Neighborhood Retail Sales Taxes For the analysis of the grocery anchored neighborhood center, shopping center square footage breakdown and sales projection were estimated as follows: Projected Retail Sales At Stabilized Occupancy See Exhibit 3 for other revenue assumptions. PAGE 5 SF Total Sales Taxable Sales Grocery Store 55,000 $22,000,000 $6,000,000 Drug Store 17,000 8,500,000 4,200,000 Shops 24,000 5,800,000 5,800,000 Restaurants 10,000 4,000,000 4,000,000 Bank/Services 10,000 3,000,000 0 Less: Vacancy (12,100) (4,300,000) (2,000000) Total 121,000 $39,000,000 $18,000,000 See Exhibit 3 for other revenue assumptions. PAGE 5 _ SEAWAY GROUP Real Estate and Urban Economics - CODORNITZ SPECIFIC PLAN FISCAL IMPACT ANALYSIS EXHIBIT 3 Recurring Revenue Factors Factor Explanation General Factors 32,522 La Quints total population - - DOF May 2004 9,569 La Quints total employment - Claritas 7_,500 Part time resident equivalents - CBRE Estimate 49,591 La Quinta resident equivalent population (Sum of above) 290 Project population at 2.0 residents per each of'145 dwelling units Local Taxes 0.01 Property tax rate, total Grocery Commercial $47,850,000 Total estimated project assessed value $18,000,000 $18,000,000 $478,500 Property taxes at.01 tax rate $180,000 $180,000 7.0% City of La Quinta GF allocation of property tax $0.55 Property transfer tax rate of $.55 per $1,000 of valuation 5.0% Turnover rate Sales Taxes $150.00 1% tax rate on local retail spending of $15,000 per household Revenue from Other Agencies $45.38 Motor vehicle license in -lieu revenue per resident Revenue from Other Funds and Programs $0.00 Other Inter overnmental $43.60 County Fire Service Credit per capita and employee Business License $18.88 Business license fee per employee only Franchise Fees $18.38 Franchise fees per capita Char es for Services $5.87 Community Service fees per resident Source: CB Richard Ellis Consulting File: NASharedlSedwaylProposals & Jobs 20041RJT Homesl[Fiscal l.xls]Exhibit 4 S_E_DWAY GROUP CODORNIZ FISCAL IMPACT ANALYSIS Real Estate and urban Economics - General Fund Recurring Costs To estimate annual General Fund costs associated with the proposed development, an average allocated cost methodology was used, where the total budgeted amount for each category (Police, Fire, Public Works etc) is calculated on a per resident, employee and visitor/resident equivalent as applicable. Recurring costs of the proposed Codomiz Specific Plan to the City of La Quinta General Fund are calculated using the following assumptions and cost factors: • Fire Protection --Annual budget divided by total residents and employees - $51.70 per capita • Paramedic Services - Annual budget divided by total residents and employees - $0.75 per capita _ + Police Protection - Annual budget divided by total residents and employees - $109.15 per capita • Public Works -- Annual budget divided by total residents and employees - $62.00 per capita • Planning & Development — Annual budget divided by total residents and employees - $18.18 per capita • Building Department — Annual budget for code enforcement and building divided by total residents and employees - $36.33 per capita. • Animal Control — Annual budget for animal control divided by total residents - $7.55 per person. • Community Services -Annual budget divided by total residents - $32.81 per capita • General Government Costs — Annual budget divided by total residents and employees - $80.81 per person. (equivalent to 27% of all other costs). See Exhibit a for detailed cost assumptions. PAGE 6 -S---EDWAY GROUP Rel al Estate and Urban Economics CODORNITZ SPECIFIC PLAN FISCAL IMPACT ANALYSIS EXHIBIT 4 Recurring Cost Factors In Constant 2004 DoiIars Factor Explanation General Factors 32,522 La Quints total population - - DOF May 2004 9,569 La Quinta total employment - Claritas 7,500 Part-time residents 49,591 La Quinta resident equivalent population (Sum of above) 290 Project population at 2.0 residents per each of 145 dwelling units 240 Project Employees - Grocery Center Police Protection $104.59 Police protection costs per capita and employee Fire and Paramedic Services $49.54 Fire protection per capita and employee $0.72 Paramedic Services per capita and employee Public Works Department $59.41 Net costs per resident equivalent Building Department $34.82 Bldg. Code compliance per capita and employee $7.07 Animal control per capita Animal Control $7.07 Costs per capita Planning & Develapment $17.42 Net planning costs per capita and employees Community Services Department $30.72 Community services administration cost per capita General Government $80.81 Costs for City Council, City Manager, City Clerk etc per capita Source! CB Richard Ellis Consulting File: N:1SharedlScdwaylProposals & Jobs 20041RJT Homesl[Fiscall.xlslExhibit 4 SEDWAY GROUP_ CODORNIZ FISCAL IMPACT ANALYSIS Rel al Estate and Urban Economics Development Fees The City collects development fees to offset the impacts on public infrastructure from new development. The following fees are collected for these categories: • Transportation - $1,098 per residential unit or $1.724 psf for commercial • Civic Center - $366 per detached unit or $0.095 psf for commercial • Community Center - $97 per detached unit • Libraries - $225 per detached unit • Fire Protection - $97 per detached unit or $0.032 psf for commercial • Parks & Rec - $5.00 per detached unit • Street Maintenance - $15.00 per residential unit or $0.023 psf for commercial • Building Permits/Plan Check - $3,950 to $6,000 per housing unit (depending on size) and $2.75 to $3.00 psf for commercial space. The proposed residential development calls for homes of less than 1,550 square feet, which would result in average fees of $3,950 per unit according to the City website. Comparing the proposed 145 -unit residential project to a 120,700 square foot commercial center, the total impact fees for the Codorniz are estimated to range from $570,500 for either commercial development to $921,500 for the residential development. Source: Development Impact Fee Study January 2002, City of La Quinta Bldg & Safety Depattment Website PAGE. 7 Transportation $159,210 $208,087 $208,087 Civic Center 53,070 11,466 11,466 Community Center 14,065 -- -- Libraries 32,625 -- -- Fire Protection 14,065 3,810 3,810 Parks & Recreation 72,790 -- -- Street Maintenance 2,175 2,776 2,776 Park Maintenance 725 Building Permit/Plan Check 572,750 344,350 344,350 Total $921,475 $570,539 $570,539 Source: Development Impact Fee Study January 2002, City of La Quinta Bldg & Safety Depattment Website PAGE. 7 SEDWAY GROUP CODORNIZ FISCAL IMPACT ANALYSIS weal Estate and Urban EConomirs ASSUMPTIONS AND GENERAL LIMITING CONDITIONS Sedway Group/CBRE Consulting has made extensive efforts to confirm the accuracy and timeliness of the information contained in this study. Such information was compiled from a variety of sources, including interviews with government officials, review of City and County documents, and other third parties deemed to be reliable. Although we believe all information in this study is correct, it does not warrant the accuracy of such information and assumes no responsibility for inaccuracies in the information by third parties. We have no responsibility to update this report for events and circumstances occurring after the date of this report_ Further, no guarantee is made as to the possible effect on development of present or future federal, state or local legislation, including any regarding environmental or ecological matters. The accompanying projections and analyses are based on estimates and assumptions developed in connection with the study. In turn, these assumptions, and their relation to the projections, were developed using currently available economic data and other relevant information. It is the nature of forecasting, however, that some assumptions may not materialize, and unanticipated events and circumstances may occur. Therefore, actual results achieved during the projection period will likely vary from the projections, and some of the variations may be material to the conclusions of the analysis. This report may not be used for any purpose other than that for which it is prepared without prior written consent and approval. PAGE 8 505 Montgomery Street, 6th Floor San Francisco, CA 941 11 41 5 781 8900 Fax 115 781,8118 355 South Grand Avenue, Suite 1200 Los Angeles, CA 90071 21 3.61.3.3750 Fax 211613.3780